Even though the Michigan Wolverines have far greater ambitions, a victory against the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday, October 8, will guarantee their bowl status for this year.
If Indiana suffers another setback, Week 6 will certainly mark the end of their bowl hopes.
With five consecutive victories to open the season, the fourth-ranked Wolverines are on track to make the College Football Playoff.
When play begins at Memorial Stadium at 12 p.m. ET, they will be enormous 21.5-point favorites. On FOX, the game will be broadcast live.
Indiana vs Michigan Odds
| Michigan Wolverines||-21.5 (-110)||-2500||Ov 59 (-112)|
|Indiana Hoosiers||+21.5 (-110)||+1000||Un 59 (-109)|
Odds from the OKBET Sportsbook as of October 4.
According to the most recent college football odds, the host Hoosiers are huge +1000 underdogs on the moneyline in a contest with a total of 59.
With sporadic sun and clouds and a temperature of 60 degrees, the weather shouldn’t be an issue on Saturday.
Future odds for the Wolverines
Michigan has slowed down a little bit after scoring more than 50 points in each of their first three games. In Week 4, they defeated Maryland 34-27 for their season’s closest victory.
They dominated Iowa last week, jumping out to a 20-0 lead until two late touchdowns turned it into a more manageable 27-14 victory.
A formidable Iowa defense that entered the game ranked first in the country for scoring defense, sixth for total defense, and eighth for rushing defense was quickly breached by Michigan. They scored touchdowns on four out of their first five drives to seize the initiative, finishing with 172 run yards and 327 total yards.
The driving force behind it all was Blake Corum, who carried the ball 29 times for 133 yards and a score. With roughly 222 yards of running offense per game, Michigan is 13th in the nation.
For 155 yards and a touchdown throw to Donovan Edwards, JJ McCarthy completed 18 of his 24 passes.
The Hawkeyes’ rushing assault was held to 35 yards on 24 runs by the defense, who did a lot of the grunt work in this game.
Only Michigan and Alabama had schools that were in the top six in the NCAA for both scoring offense and defense going into this week.
Indiana’s Betting Prospects
The Indiana Hoosiers have dropped two consecutive games after opening the season with three straight victories. Their most recent defeat came at the hands of the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who defeated them 35-21. Nebraska has lost nine consecutive games against FBS opponents coming into this contest.
When Indiana was down 14-0, they battled back to a 21-21 tie before giving up 14 points in the fourth quarter, including a 71-yard grab and run touchdown by Trey Palmer that gave Nebraska the lead permanently.
The IU defense, which is now ranked 107th in total yards allowed with opponents averaging 420.4 yards per game and 5.45 yards per play, will undoubtedly face its biggest test of the season.
The passing offense, which ranks 33rd in the country with an average of 278.8 yards per game and a respectable 10.72 yards per completion, is one strength that may help narrow this wide differential.
Against Nebraska, Connor Bazelak passed for 223 yards and a touchdown. He has thrown five interceptions along with his eight touchdown passes this season.
Indiana vs Michigan Pick
There haven’t been many Indiana victories in this head-to-head competition. Since 1987, they have only only defeated Michigan once, and that victory was during the COVID-shortened 2020 season.
Michigan is used to these large spreads; this season, when they are favored by 21 points or more, they are 2-1 against the spread. Additionally, they have a 4-0 ATS record in their past four away games and a 6-1 ATS record in their previous seven conference contests.
In their previous eight home games, Indiana is only 1-7 ATS, and in their last four home games against teams with winning road records, they are 0-4 ATS.
In their matchup with the second-worst scoring defense in the Big Ten, the Wolverines should strike quickly and decisively.
- Michigan -21.5 (-109); 0.92 units for the victory
- NCAAF Week 5 Record: 2 to 1 Overall: 3-0 o/u, 3-2 ATS, and +1.64 units
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