In Week 3 of the UEFA Champions League, Real Madrid will face Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday, October 5. It all starts at 3:00 p.m. ET at the Santiago Bernabeau.
We preview Real Madrid vs. Shakhtar Donetsk, examine the odds, and provide analysis, team news, and choices for this UCL Group F match.
Real Madrid leads Group F with two victories from two games, while Shakhtar is second with four points from two games.
OKBET Betting Odds for Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk
OKBET Sportsbook odds as of October 5. To wager on this or other sports, use this OKBET Sportsbook coupon code.
Real Madrid are overwhelming favorites to win, with Caesars offering them at -500, equating to an 83% implied win probability.
Shakhtar, on the other hand, are priced at a similarly enormous +1300 for the victory, with an indicated chance of just 7%. The draw is also well priced at +575, with a 15% implied chance.
Over, Under and Spread
Caesars anticipates a high number of goals in this game, with over 3.5 goals priced at -105 and under 3.5 priced at -125.
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Prediction for Real Madrid vs. Shakhtar Donetsk
Real Madrid’s defense of their Champions League title – they defeated Liverpool in last season’s final – has begun nicely, with two victories in their first two games. They are also yet to surrender a goal in the tournament, having defeated Celtic 3-0 in Glasgow on the first day and then RB Leipzig 2-0 at home.
Los Blancos is once again one of the select few groups of groups seen to have a chance to win the cup, but in the Champions League odds, they are still ranked fifth, behind Manchester City, Paris Saint-Germain, Bayern Munich, and Liverpool. Even if there is still a long way to go, those two early victories at least gave them the upper hand in their quest to advance to the knockout round.
Fire in Los Blancos
Real Madrid had had a similarly unstoppable start to the La Liga season, but they tripped up last weekend when Osasuna held them to a 1-1 draw, ending their perfect record. As a consequence, they fell to second place in the standings, behind Barcelona.
Real are the overwhelming favorites to defeat Shakhtar, but it’s important to remember that they were defeated by the Ukrainians at both home and away during the tournament’s group stage in 2020–21.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid Comparative Statistics
|Real Madrid||VS||Shakhtar Donetsk|
|2-2-0||UCL 2022-23 record||1-1-0|
|5 / 0||Goals for / against||5 / 2|
|1st||Position in group||2nd|
|24 / 9||Goal attempts / on target||10 / 6|
|91.5||Passing accuracy (%)||84|
|W-W-W-W-W-D||Form guide (all competitions)||W-W-W-W-D-W|
Excellent UCL debut for Shakhtar
While Shakhtar defeated Real twice in the 2020–21 UCL, as was already established, they fell to them twice in the previous campaign’s tournament, including a 2-1 loss at the Bernabeu on their way to placing last in their group.
However, they have had a strong start to this season with a convincing 4-1 victory over RB Leipzig on Matchday 1 and a rather disappointing 1-1 draw with Celtic at home.
Demand for Mudryk
Shakhtar has also been doing well at home, and their 4-1-0 record now has them in first place in the Ukrainian Premier League. Igor Jovicevic’s group defeated Metalist Kharkiv 6-1 over the weekend to hold onto first position.
Winger Mykhaylo Mudryk, who has two goals and two assists to his record already in this season’s UCL, is the important player for Donetsk. Numerous elite European teams are fighting for the 21-year-services, old’s but as long as he is still playing for Shakhtar, they remain formidable rivals.
Team lineups for Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk and injuries
Lunin, Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Mendy, Valverde, Tchouameni, Kroos, Rodrygo, Benzema, and Vinicius are the projected Real Madrid starting lineup.
Courtois & Ceballos have injuries & absences.
Trubin, Taylor, Bondar, Matviyenko, Konoplya, Shved, Bondarenko, Stepanenko, Sudakov, Mudryk, and Sikan make up Shakhtar’s projected lineup.
Kornienko is hurt and not playing.
Pick for Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk
The only value bet involving Real is attempting to anticipate the score, but even that overlooks what an accomplished team the Ukrainians are given the very cheap price for the home victory.
For me, Shakhtar may create something special here despite Real’s abundance of ability and experience, considering what’s happening in their country of origin. With odds of around 6/1, they seem capable of winning the draw.
Pick ON Real Madrid and Shakhtar Donetsk to draw | +575
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